Mercury is going to soar again
WE COULDN'T have asked for a better weekend with both days being fine and clear. The Downs was under a stable mass of dry air that was influenced by a high sitting off the south-east coast.
Saturday was fine and clear with a light breeze from the north for most of the day. Temperatures were 10-27 degrees.
Sunday was much the same with fine and clear conditions and light north-easterly winds for most of the day. Temperatures were 11-29 degrees.
Temperatures are going to warm up a bit in the early part of the week as a ridge along the coast weakens and a surface trough in the west of the state starts to move east. Today, north-easterly winds will direct warm air into our region while keeping us dry and clear. No cloud is expected but in the late evening some high cirrus may develop but no rain is associated with it. 14-32.
Tomorrow may see some partly cloudy conditions during the day as the ridge along the coast moves east allowing the surface trough to travel east as well. Warm moist air should start to flow into our region and this will raise the temperatures. There is a slight possibility of a shower or storm tomorrow night as the surface trough interacts with the moist air from the north but I stress this is only slight. 16-34.
Wednesday should see conditions deteriorate as an upper trough develops to the west of the state and starts to move east. This trough should cause the surface trough to deepen and draw more moisture from the north-east. It will most likely be overcast in the morning before breaking up to partly cloudy by afternoon. There is a chance of showers for most of the day with a likely possibility of storms developing during the early afternoon before moving north during the evening. Winds should be from the northwest for most of the day. 20-31.
Thursday has a chance of more showers and a storm during the afternoon and evening. The upper trough will stall over the south-east with the surface trough over our region. Anywhere east of the surface trough has a chance of storm activity. Winds may be gusty at times from the east, tending northeast during the day. The eastern parts of the Southern Downs have the best chance of seeing rain. 17-30.
Friday should be partly cloudy throughout the day with most of the activity contracting north during the afternoon. There is a chance of storms developing during the afternoon but these will be mostly north of Warwick. Winds should be moderate from the southeast for most of the day. 16-29.
The weekend has a chance of showers and maybe a storm on both days at this stage with temps around the mid to high 20s.
Terry West, Southern Downs Weather and Storm Chasing